FairSquare/Victoria/Ferny Creek
Suburb Dossier · VIC · 3786

Ferny Creek

FairSquare analyses every Australian suburb for property investors — score, yield, risk and a full investment verdict.

FairSquare's model rates Ferny Creek, Victoria 5.7 out of 10 (Neutral Hold) as of May 2026.

Ferny Creek offers a stable investment with its semi-rural appeal 35km from Melbourne's CBD, attracting discerning tenants seeking a lifestyle location. An extremely low 1% vacancy rate, combined with limited supply, underpins strong rental demand and tenant retention, providing stability despite the moderate gross yield. Structural owner-occupier demand has not yet been priced into the market — a re-rating window remains open.

Model Verdict
Neutral Hold
5.7OUT OF 10
Median
$1.07M
house
Gross Yield
2.9%
derived
Weekly Rent
$600
3-bed median
12m Growth
+4.5%
trailing
Secret Sauce · Derivation

How the model valued Ferny Creek

The median price is derived, not estimated. Every number on this page traces back to the model's proprietary yield surface — calibrated for each part of the country and resolved against distance from CBD. The price falls out of the formula.

Confidencehigh

Inputs for this suburb sit at the top of our calibration tier. The model is not guessing.

Distance
to CBD
35km
Yield
derived from model
2.9%
Median Rent
weekly, 3-bed
$600
Median Price
(rent × 52) ÷ yield
$1.07M
Fit · Who It Suits
Investor Profiles
Income Hold
Model Tags
Prestige Undervalued
Signals · Partial View
Market Temp
Steady
Supply Pressure
Normal
Rent Trajectory
In line
Cycle Position
Hot ·
Days On Market
Cool
Clearance Rate
Active ·
Buyer Demand
Hot
Vacancy Rate
Cool ·
Rent Growth 12m
Active
Price Volatility
Hot ·
5-Year Forecast
Cool
Risk Flags
Active ·

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Delivered as an 11-page analysis to your inbox. Every number derived from the same model — no listings scraped, no prices estimated, no AI opinion substituted for data.

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What's inside
01Cover page with verdict & score
02In-30-seconds snapshot
03Score breakdown across 5 dimensions
04Big picture & liveability analysis
05Market cycle + 10-year forecast
06Rental story + yield scenarios
07Supply & demand pressure gauge
08Opportunity & risk register
093-play investor playbook
1012-24mo + 3-5yr outlook
112026 Budget impact analysis
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FAQ
01

Is Ferny Creek a good investment in 2026?

FairSquare's model rates Ferny Creek, Victoria 5.7 out of 10 (Neutral Hold) as of May 2026. Ferny Creek offers a stable investment with its semi-rural appeal 35km from Melbourne's CBD, attracting discerning tenants seeking a lifestyle location. An extremely low 1% vacancy rate, combined with limited supply, underpins strong rental demand and tenant retention, providing stability despite the moderate gross yield.

02

What is the median house price in Ferny Creek?

The median house price in Ferny Creek, VIC is $1.07M. Weekly rent of $600 against a 2.9% gross yield underpins this figure.

03

What is the rental yield in Ferny Creek?

Ferny Creek has a gross rental yield of 2.9%, with a median weekly rent of $600. 12-month price growth is tracking at +4.5%.

04

Which investor profiles does Ferny Creek suit?

Based on its market signals, Ferny Creek aligns with: Income Hold.

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