FairSquare/Victoria/Mornington
Suburb Dossier · VIC · 3931

Mornington

FairSquare analyses every Australian suburb for property investors — score, yield, risk and a full investment verdict.

FairSquare's model rates Mornington, Victoria 7.0 out of 10 (Steady Buy) as of June 2026.

Mornington presents a strong investment case, demonstrating 8.5% capital growth and an exceptionally low 1.2% vacancy rate, reflecting robust demand and limited supply. Located 65 kilometres from the CBD, its unique appeal on the Mornington Peninsula attracts a stable renter demographic seeking lifestyle and local economic opportunities, making it a reliable performer. Constrained supply means downward price pressure is structurally limited. Depth of owner-occupier demand creates a reliable price floor through cycle downturns.

Model Verdict
Steady Buy
7.0OUT OF 10
Median
$906K
house
Gross Yield
3.3%
derived
Weekly Rent
$579
3-bed median
12m Growth
+8.5%
trailing
Secret Sauce · Derivation

How the model valued Mornington

The median price is derived, not estimated. Every number on this page traces back to the model's proprietary yield surface — calibrated for each part of the country and resolved against distance from CBD. The price falls out of the formula.

Confidencehigh

Inputs for this suburb sit at the top of our calibration tier. The model is not guessing.

Distance
to CBD
65km
Yield
derived from model
3.3%
Median Rent
weekly, 3-bed
$579
Median Price
(rent × 52) ÷ yield
$906K
Fit · Who It Suits
Investor Profiles
Defensive HoldLong Hold
Model Tags
Supply ConstrainedDefensive Core
Signals · Partial View
Market Temp
Warming
Supply Pressure
Low
Rent Trajectory
In line
Cycle Position
Hot ·
Days On Market
Cool
Clearance Rate
Active ·
Buyer Demand
Hot
Vacancy Rate
Cool ·
Rent Growth 12m
Active
Price Volatility
Hot ·
5-Year Forecast
Cool
Risk Flags
Active ·

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What's inside
01Cover page with verdict & score
02In-30-seconds snapshot
03Score breakdown across 5 dimensions
04Big picture & liveability analysis
05Market cycle + 10-year forecast
06Rental story + yield scenarios
07Supply & demand pressure gauge
08Opportunity & risk register
093-play investor playbook
1012-24mo + 3-5yr outlook
112026 Budget impact analysis
Nearby · VIC
5.4km away
Mount Eliza
Steady Buy
$1.06M3.1%+9.5%
5.8km away
Mount Martha
Workhorse Investment
$1.41M3.0%+6.5%
9.2km away
Baxter
Proceed with Caution
$681K4.2%+4.9%
9.2km away
Frankston South
Workhorse Investment
$1.03M3.0%+10.0%
FAQ
01

Is Mornington a good investment in 2026?

FairSquare's model rates Mornington, Victoria 7.0 out of 10 (Steady Buy) as of June 2026. Mornington presents a strong investment case, demonstrating 8.5% capital growth and an exceptionally low 1.2% vacancy rate, reflecting robust demand and limited supply. Located 65 kilometres from the CBD, its unique appeal on the Mornington Peninsula attracts a stable renter demographic seeking lifestyle and local economic opportunities, making it a reliable performer.

02

What is the median house price in Mornington?

The median house price in Mornington, VIC is $906K. Weekly rent of $579 against a 3.3% gross yield underpins this figure.

03

What is the rental yield in Mornington?

Mornington has a gross rental yield of 3.3%, with a median weekly rent of $579. 12-month price growth is tracking at +8.5%.

04

Which investor profiles does Mornington suit?

Based on its market signals, Mornington aligns with: Defensive Hold, Long Hold.

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