FairSquare/Victoria/Mornington
Suburb Dossier · VIC · 3931

Mornington

Mornington, 74 kilometres from the CBD, sustains a robust rental market due to consistent tenant demand for its regional coastal lifestyle, evidenced by a very low 1.5% vacancy rate. Low supply levels underpin reliable 4.5% capital growth per annum, positioning it as a "workhorse investment" for long-term appreciation, despite its elevated risk profile. Structural owner-occupier demand has not yet been priced into the market — a re-rating window remains open.

Model Verdict
Workhorse Investment
6.3OUT OF 10
Median
$906K
house
Gross Yield
3.3%
derived
Weekly Rent
$579
3-bed median
12m Growth
+4.5%
trailing
Secret Sauce · Derivation

How the model valued Mornington

The median price is derived, not estimated. Every number on this page traces back to the model's proprietary yield surface — calibrated for each part of the country and resolved against distance from CBD. The price falls out of the formula.

Confidencehigh

Inputs for this suburb sit at the top of our calibration tier. The model is not guessing.

Distance
to CBD
74km
Yield
derived from model
3.3%
Median Rent
weekly, 3-bed
$579
Median Price
(rent × 52) ÷ yield
$906K
Fit · Who It Suits
Investor Profiles
Defensive Hold
Model Tags
Prestige Undervalued
Signals · Partial View
Market Temp
Steady
Supply Pressure
Normal
Rent Trajectory
In line
Cycle Position
Hot ·
Days On Market
Cool
Clearance Rate
Active ·
Buyer Demand
Hot
Vacancy Rate
Cool ·
Rent Growth 12m
Active
Price Volatility
Hot ·
5-Year Forecast
Cool
Risk Flags
Active ·

9 of 12 signals locked. The model's full read is in the complete analysis.

The Full Model Analysis

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Delivered as a 10-section analysis to your inbox. Every number derived from the same model — no listings scraped, no prices estimated, no AI opinion substituted for data.

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What's inside
01Cover page with verdict & score
02In-30-seconds snapshot
03Score breakdown across 5 dimensions
04Big picture & liveability analysis
05Market cycle + 10-year forecast
06Rental story + yield scenarios
07Supply & demand pressure gauge
08Opportunity & risk register
093-play investor playbook
1012-24mo + 3-5yr outlook
Nearby · VIC
5.4km away
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Workhorse Investment
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9.2km away
Baxter
Proceed with Caution
$750K4.2%+6.0%
9.2km away
Frankston South
Workhorse Investment
$1.04M3.0%+5.5%
FAQ
01

Is Mornington a good investment in 2026?

The model rates Mornington a 6.3/10 and classifies it as "Workhorse Investment". Mornington, 74 kilometres from the CBD, sustains a robust rental market due to consistent tenant demand for its regional coastal lifestyle, evidenced by a very low 1.5% vacancy rate. Low supply levels underpin reliable 4.5% capital growth per annum, positioning it as a "workhorse investment" for long-term appreciation, despite its elevated risk profile. Structural owner-occupier demand has not yet been priced into the market — a re-rating window remains open.

02

What is the rental yield in Mornington?

Mornington is tracking at a 3.3% gross rental yield with a median weekly rent of $579 against a median house price of $906K. Full rent progression analysis is included in the complete model report.

03

How does the model value Mornington?

The model derives the median price from our proprietary yield model, not from scraped listings or AI estimates. Weekly rent × 52 ÷ gross yield returns the median price — every number on this page traces back to that formula.

04

Which investor profiles does Mornington suit?

Model signals align with: Defensive Hold. Avoidance profiles and risk flags are covered in the full model output.

The Model Sees More

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