FairSquare/Victoria/Carrum Downs
Suburb Dossier · VIC

Carrum Downs

Strong fundamentals at 3.7% yield with 6.5% 12m growth. The market hasn't fully priced the structural demand here yet. The market has started re-rating this location — 12-month growth of +6.5% puts it ahead of the broader Victoria median.

Model Verdict
Hidden Gem
6.5OUT OF 10
Median
$794K
house
Gross Yield
3.7%
derived
Weekly Rent
$566
3-bed median
12m Growth
+6.5%
trailing
Secret Sauce · Derivation

How the model valued Carrum Downs

The median price is derived, not estimated. Every number on this page traces back to the model's proprietary yield surface — calibrated for each part of the country and resolved against distance from CBD. The price falls out of the formula.

Confidencehigh

Inputs for this suburb sit at the top of our calibration tier. The model is not guessing.

Distance
to CBD
35km
Yield
derived from model
3.7%
Median Rent
weekly, 3-bed
$566
Median Price
(rent × 52) ÷ yield
$794K
Fit · Who It Suits
Investor Profiles
Growth Play
Model Tags
Momentum Building
Signals · Partial View
Market Temp
Warming
Supply Pressure
Normal
Rent Trajectory
In line
Cycle Position
Hot ·
Days On Market
Cool
Clearance Rate
Active ·
Buyer Demand
Hot
Vacancy Rate
Cool ·
Rent Growth 12m
Active
Price Volatility
Hot ·
5-Year Forecast
Cool
Risk Flags
Active ·

9 of 12 signals locked. The model's full read is in the complete analysis.

The Full Model Analysis

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Delivered as a 10-section analysis to your inbox. Every number derived from the same model — no listings scraped, no prices estimated, no AI opinion substituted for data.

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What's inside
01Cover page with verdict & score
02In-30-seconds snapshot
03Score breakdown across 5 dimensions
04Big picture & liveability analysis
05Market cycle + 10-year forecast
06Rental story + yield scenarios
07Supply & demand pressure gauge
08Opportunity & risk register
093-play investor playbook
1012-24mo + 3-5yr outlook
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FAQ
01

Is Carrum Downs a good investment in 2026?

The model rates Carrum Downs a 6.5/10 and classifies it as "Hidden Gem". Strong fundamentals at 3.7% yield with 6.5% 12m growth. The market hasn't fully priced the structural demand here yet. The market has started re-rating this location — 12-month growth of +6.5% puts it ahead of the broader Victoria median.

02

What is the rental yield in Carrum Downs?

Carrum Downs is tracking at a 3.7% gross rental yield with a median weekly rent of $566 against a median house price of $794K. Full rent progression analysis is included in the complete model report.

03

How does the model value Carrum Downs?

The model derives the median price from our proprietary yield model, not from scraped listings or AI estimates. Weekly rent × 52 ÷ gross yield returns the median price — every number on this page traces back to that formula.

04

Which investor profiles does Carrum Downs suit?

Model signals align with: Growth Play. Avoidance profiles and risk flags are covered in the full model output.

The Model Sees More

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